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Half marathon to marathon time converter

Your marathon prediction is roughly 2.07× your half marathon time: a 1:50:00 points to about 3:47:50, if you train for the longer race. The half marathon is the race most runners use to set a marathon goal, and the old rule of “double it and add ten minutes” is a reasonable first check.

Fitness (VDOT)40.4from 21.1 km in 1:50:00
DistancePredicted timePace
5 km23:554:47/km
10 km49:374:58/km
15 km1:16:255:06/km
Half marathon1:50:005:13/km
Marathon3:47:505:24/km
Two Oceans 56 km *5:23:385:47/km
Comrades (about 90 km) *9:42:516:29/km

Flat course, good conditions, properly trained for the distance. * Past the marathon, times follow how real Two Oceans and Comrades fields finish (about 1.42× and 2.56× a marathon), not the pure fitness model.

The chart

half marathonMarathon (VDOT)RiegelPace
1:25:002:57:252:57:134:12/km
1:30:003:07:353:07:394:27/km
1:35:003:17:433:18:044:41/km
1:40:003:27:473:28:304:55/km
1:45:003:37:503:38:555:10/km
1:50:003:47:503:49:215:24/km
1:55:003:57:483:59:465:38/km
2:00:004:07:454:10:125:52/km
2:10:004:27:334:31:036:20/km
2:20:004:47:174:51:546:49/km
2:30:005:06:585:12:457:16/km

Two formulas, one answer

The VDOT column is Jack Daniels’ model, the same one that sets every Race Shape plan. The Riegel column is Pete Riegel’s 1977 formula, T₂ = T₁ × (D₂/D₁)^1.06, which most online calculators use. For a 1:50:00 half marathon they give 3:47:50 and 3:49:21. When two independent models agree to within a few minutes, the estimate is about as good as a formula gets.

When the prediction is wrong

The model predicts a little more than double — roughly 2.1× — because pace falls as distance rises. Runners with high mileage often beat it; first-time marathoners usually do not.

At altitude, add the correction on top: a race at Johannesburg’s height is about 8% slower for the same effort — see the altitude pace calculator.

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Common questions

How do I convert a half marathon time to a marathon time?

Multiply by about 2.07, or use the chart: a 1:50:00 points to about 3:47:50.

What marathon can I run off a 1:30:00 half marathon?

About 3:07:35 by Daniels’ model, 3:07:39 by Riegel’s, if you train for the marathon.

Which is more accurate, VDOT or Riegel?

They agree closely over these distances. VDOT is slightly more conservative for slower runners; neither knows how much long-run training you have done, which matters more than the formula.

Why did I run slower than my predicted marathon?

The model predicts a little more than double — roughly 2.1× — because pace falls as distance rises. Runners with high mileage often beat it; first-time marathoners usually do not.

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