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Goal pace

Sub-4:30 marathon pace

To run a sub-4:30 marathon you need to average 6:24 per kilometre — 10:18 per mile, 9.4 km/h — and reach halfway in 2:15:00. Sub-4:30 asks for about 6:24/km and a long run that builds past 30 km at least twice.

Pace6:24 /km42.2 km in 4:29:59 · 9.4 km/h · 10:18/mile

Even-pace splits

DistanceClock
5 km32:00
10 km1:03:59
15 km1:35:59
20 km2:07:58
21.1 km2:14:59
25 km2:39:58
30 km3:11:57
35 km3:43:57
40 km4:15:56
42.2 km4:29:59

The fitness behind a sub-4:30 marathon

A sub-4:30 marathon is a VDOT of about 32.8. The same fitness, trained for each distance, runs:

5 km28:30 (5:42/km)
10 km59:13 (5:55/km)
Half marathon2:11:14 (6:13/km)

So a half marathon in about 2:11:14 is the clearest sign you are ready. If your recent half marathon is well slower than that, the goal is still on — it needs a block, not a hopeful race day.

Training paces for it

Easy7:09–8:09/km at the coast · 7:44/km or slower in Johannesburg
Threshold6:05/km · 6:35/km in Johannesburg
Intervals5:30/km · 5:58/km in Johannesburg

At altitude

The same fitness is slower high up. Raced at about 1 680 m, a sub-4:30 marathon effort comes out near 4:51:14; to break 4:30:00 up there you need fitness worth about 4:10:19 at the coast. Gauteng runners chasing this time are best off choosing a coastal race.

The sub-4:30 marathon training plan lays out the weeks; a plan built from your own recent time says plainly whether the goal is on.

Build my sub-4:30 marathon plan — free to build

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Common questions

What pace is a sub-4:30 marathon?

6:24 per kilometre, or 10:18 per mile.

What half marathon time shows I can run a sub-4:30 marathon?

About 2:11:14 — the same fitness, trained for that distance.

How fast should easy runs be when training for a sub-4:30 marathon?

No faster than 7:09/km at sea level, or 7:44/km in Johannesburg. Slower is fine.

Can I run a sub-4:30 marathon in Johannesburg?

It is harder: at around 1 680 m the same effort is about 8% slower, so you need fitness worth about 4:10:19 at the coast.

How long does it take to train for a sub-4:30 marathon?

It depends on the gap. Improving about 0.4% a week is a reasonable rate for a trained runner, so a 5% gap is roughly 12–13 weeks. The plan page works it out.

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